Government Based on Coercion Cannot Be Tamed by = Michael S. Rozeff

From: Subject: Government Based on Coercion Cannot Be Tamed by Michael S. Rozeff Date: Mon, 18 Apr 2011 06:52:28 -0700 MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: multipart/related; type="text/html"; boundary="----=_NextPart_000_0039_01CBFD95.2EB55020" X-MimeOLE: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V6.00.2900.6090 This is a multi-part message in MIME format. ------=_NextPart_000_0039_01CBFD95.2EB55020 Content-Type: text/html; charset="Windows-1252" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Content-Location: http://www.lewrockwell.com/rozeff/rozeff288.html Government Based on Coercion Cannot Be Tamed by = Michael S. Rozeff

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Government Based on Coercion Cannot = Be=20 Tamed

by Michael S. = Rozeff
by Michael S.=20 Rozeff

The = U.S.=20 federal government is on a course of self-destruction. = People of=20 many political persuasions know this. People who are against = coercive government know this. People who favor coercive = government=20 know this. People who do not mind if the federal government=20 self-destructs know this, and people who want to save the = federal=20 government know this.

From a=20 scientific viewpoint, one of the interesting aspects of a = government=20 that is self-destructing is that the process cannot be = stopped, even=20 when people who want to stop it, try. Government based on = coercion=20 cannot be tamed. It keeps on running until the clock stops = ticking=20 and the bomb goes off.

The = Committee for a Responsible = Budget,=20 which is part of the New America Foundation, consists of = Washington=20 insiders. It chairman is William Frenzel. Leon Panetta was a = co-chair up until joining the CIA. The Board = of=20 Directors is strictly Establishment. So are the Directors. = Among=20 them are Vic Fazio, Alice Rivlin, Robert Reischauer, = Lawrence=20 Summers, David Stockman, Paul Volcker, and David M. Walker. = These=20 people support the State, the federal government, the = republic,=20 democracy, and the Constitution. They would vigorously deny = that=20 they don't.

These people do=20 not want the federal government to destroy itself, but they = tell us=20 in no uncertain terms that the federal government is on = precisely=20 that course. It is precisely because this committee is made = up of=20 numerous Washington establishment figures that their = statements are=20 useful in complementing and confirming the observations of = LRC=20 writers, who might otherwise be viewed as unduly radical, = alarmist,=20 or biased. Here is a sample of statements coming out of this = committee. See here,=20 here<= /A>,=20 here,=20 here, here, = and here.

"The economy is=20 in crisis, the deficit is out of control, all of the Bush = tax cuts=20 are about to expire, and the tax code is in many ways broken = =97 this=20 is no time to think small," remarked Maya MacGuineas, = President of=20 the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget.

"Borrowing has=20 ballooned to unimaginable levels. A $1 trillion deficit =97 = more than=20 twice the previous record =97 now appears to be a = conservative=20 estimate for fiscal year 2009. The debt is already over $10=20 trillion. And to paraphrase President-elect Obama, economic=20 conditions will probably get worse before they get better. = Yet as=20 bad as things seem today, the future looks bleaker. The = projected=20 rapid growth in spending =97 driven primarily by the aging = of the=20 population and health care cost growth =97 will put this = country's=20 fiscal and economic health in permanent jeopardy. If not = brought=20 under control or paid for with new revenue, this growth will = turn=20 trillion dollar deficits from an exception to the = norm.

"In = its recent=20 Budget Outline, the Administration claims to reduce the = deficit by=20 paying for its new initiatives, winding down the war in = Iraq, and=20 raising taxes on higher earners. In their budget, the = Administration=20 displays policy changes relative to a current policy = baseline... The=20 budget relative to the standard current-law baseline, = however,=20 reduces taxes, increases mandatory spending, and increases = the=20 deficit."

"Including the=20 costs of his health care plan, spending would grow = considerably=20 under President Obama's budget. Under the current law = baseline,=20 outlays would return to a fairly average level of GDP after = the=20 costs of the current economic and financial crisis have = passed.=20 Under the President's budget, however, outlays as a share of = the=20 economy would reach a permanently higher level, and would = only grow=20 from there as population aging and rising health care costs = take=20 their toll on the budget.

"Mandatory=20 payments =97 the combination of mandatory programs and net = interest=20 spending =97 increase from 62 percent of total government = spending in=20 2008 to 72 percent of total spending in 2019 under the = President's=20 budget.

"While it makes=20 sense that the President would advocate for the policies on = which he=20 campaigned, we worry about the introduction of too much new=20 permanent spending before addressing the unsustainable = growth of=20 existing programs.

"The Committee=20 for a Responsible Federal Budget has warned that the = President's=20 budget is not aggressive enough in reducing the medium or = long-term=20 deficit, and CBO's [Congressional Budget Office] analysis = projects a=20 significantly worse situation than the Administration does, = with the=20 President's Budget plan resulting in larger and continuously = rising=20 budget deficits.

"The budget=20 proposal would increase the debt held by the public from = $5.8=20 trillion, or 40.8 percent of GDP, in 2008 to $17.3 trillion, = or 82.4=20 percent of GDP, by 2019.

"CBO's recent=20 analysis of the President's budget paints a dismal fiscal = picture,=20 with deficits not only continuing, but increasing, as far as = the eye=20 can see, and debt growing to levels not seen since World War = II.=20 Although large short-term deficits may be necessary to put = the=20 economy on a path to recovery, debt cannot sustainably = continue to=20 grow as a percent of GDP over the long-term. If deficits are = not=20 eventually reduced to manageable levels, they will threaten=20 long-term economic growth and impair the normal functions = and=20 flexibility of government."

Being=20 supporters of the State, this Committee recommends the only = remedy=20 available to the government to prevent fiscal disaster: = higher=20 taxes.

"The Task Force=20 would be wise to focus on base broadening by making = recommendations=20 to reform tax expenditures, and it should explore = alternative means=20 of raising revenue. Additionally, the Committee recommends = that the=20 Administration remove the restriction that prohibits the=20 consideration of tax increases for families making under = $250,000 a=20 year."

No = doubt, the=20 projections of the alarmed Establishment are conservative! = If any=20 serious budget analyst were to go through the budget = carefully and=20 pinpoint all of its rosy assumptions that are unlikely ever = to=20 occur, the deficit projections would be even greater. Based = on these=20 optimistic deficit projections, the Obama budget shows debt = doubling=20 between 2008 and 2013. The rise is likely to be even = greater. It=20 then shows debt rising by less than 50 percent between 2013 = and=20 2019, as in the best years of the nineties. Given the sour = economy,=20 falling tax revenues, and higher government spending, this = is a pipe=20 dream.

And = so, in the=20 good old American way, the Washington insiders attempt to = alter the=20 course of the government while preserving it. Their goal is = to tame=20 the government. It's not going to happen. It can't be=20 done.

Why = not? Why=20 can government not be reformed? The government we have is = coercive=20 by construction. The law of the land is coercive by = construction.=20 They involve majority rule in which one group is able = legally to=20 impose its wishes on other groups by force.

A = non-coercive=20 government can be reformed. People only need to stop using = its=20 services. It then either shapes up and responds to people's = needs or=20 it loses out to alternative means of governance.

A = coercive=20 government invariably imposes losses on some while providing = gains=20 to others. (The same person may gain from one vote and lose = from=20 another.) To survive, the state has to juggle these losses = and gains=20 so as to not to alienate too many people. Power has to = ensconce=20 itself. It cannot rely solely on the use and threat of = force. That=20 is too costly a means to maintain power. Instead, it seeks = to make=20 itself indispensable. It seeks to weave itself into the = basic fabric=20 of daily life. It inserts itself into basic needs that = involve food,=20 health, money, financing, education, and so on. Thus, the = survival=20 of the State goes hand-in-hand with growth in government = because the=20 growth allows the State to entangle many more people in many = more=20 ways so that undoing the resulting society becomes too = costly and=20 scary a possibility to the people caught in the = web.

Furthermore,=20 the growth of government is assured by a second = circumstance, which=20 is that the use of power attracts people who want to use = that power=20 and who compete to use that power.

Any = attempt to=20 cut back this growth or tame it poses a threat to the = State's=20 survival and to the power-using inclinations of those in = power. Such=20 attempts at reform open up politics to new negotiations, new = votes,=20 new priorities, and new coalitions. They threaten to reduce = the=20 scope of power exercised by rulers. They alert the citizenry = to=20 entirely new possibilities. They unhinge old and established = alliances and interests. In all reform movements lie great = risks to=20 the established system, interests, and people in power. If = they=20 cannot control these reforms, they will want to squelch = them. If=20 they control them, you can be sure that no real reforms will = be=20 forthcoming.

The = governing=20 establishment, left and right, is highly conservative in one = major=20 respect, which is the maintenance and extension of the = existing=20 power structure and hold of coercive government over the = private=20 lives and liberties of Americans. Not wanting to take the = risks of=20 reforming government and having much to gain by extending=20 government, the government grows.

The interesting phenomenon emerges, = which is=20 that the government grows too much and risks its own = destruction,=20 even while those who are close to government, in and out, = see that=20 the government's very survival is threatened. This is = because=20 growing government is advantageous to the rulers, both = personally=20 and in terms of managing to hold power over society, and = because=20 cutting government back opens up many political risks. It is = far=20 easier for those out of power, like many on the Committee = for a=20 Responsible Federal Budget, to identify the survival threat = and warn=20 against it, than it is for those in power to do anything = about it.=20 Those in power want to retain power and get re-elected. = Their time=20 horizons are rather short. It hardly pays them to do = something for=20 the long-term good, even of the government, especially when = that=20 something involves large political risks. To upset one or = two=20 constituencies by cutting back their benefits may mean = losing=20 office.

There is no=20 question but that the unmitigated profligacy of Bush II and = now=20 Obama is hastening the day when the federal government = implodes and=20 takes the country on a far from merry ride downhill. = Labeling them=20 (fascist and socialist) hardly even matters. Obama is now = fully=20 responsible for the slide. His across-the-board spending = increases=20 in all departments of government are not stimulus. The = intent is to=20 exercise power, especially by Democrats. The intent is to = give us=20 bigger government, as his anti-Reagan rhetoric makes clear. = (Reagan=20 gave us bigger government too.) Bush gave us Iraq and = Afghanistan.=20 Obama gives us Afghanistan and Iraq. Obama accuses Bush of=20 irresponsibility. He then turns around and gives us a=20 new era of irresponsibility.

The = conclusion,=20 which I pose as a theorem of political dynamics, is that = government=20 based on coercion cannot be tamed. Coercive governments can = and do=20 commit suicide.

April 7, = 2009

Michael S. Rozeff = [send him mail] is a = retired=20 Professor of Finance living in East Amherst, New=20 York.

Copyright =A9 2009 by = LewRockwell.com. Permission to reprint in whole or in part = is gladly=20 granted, provided full credit is given.

Michael S.=20 Rozeff Archives=20

Back to LewRockwell.com Home=20 Page

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